RSI (Relative Strength Index)
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator, scaled 0 to 100, that measures how fast and how far a price has moved recently.
What it is
The RSI is a bounded oscillator (0–100) developed by J. Welles Wilder. It compares the size of recent gains to recent losses over a lookback (commonly 14 periods) to gauge momentum. Readings above 70 are conventionally called 'overbought'; below 30, 'oversold.'
How it works
RSI is most useful as a momentum gauge, not a mechanical buy/sell switch:
- Overbought/oversold: extreme readings flag a stretched move that may pause — but in a strong trend RSI can stay overbought for weeks.
- Divergence: if price makes a new high but RSI makes a lower high, momentum is fading — an early warning.
- Midline (50): RSI holding above 50 confirms bullish momentum; below 50, bearish.
Worked example
A large-cap rallies hard and its 14-day RSI hits 78 — overbought. A naive trader shorts it; the stock keeps climbing for two weeks because the trend is powerful. A more disciplined read waits for divergence: price makes a higher high but RSI prints a lower high (say 72 vs. 78). That loss of momentum, combined with a break of support, is a far more reliable warning than the overbought reading alone.
Why it matters
RSI is a fast, intuitive read on whether a move is running out of fuel — a useful complement to trend tools like moving averages. Its danger is being used in isolation: 'overbought' is not 'sell.' Strong trends stay overbought, and fighting them is how accounts bleed.
Entry Point Trading treats momentum as one input among several, never a lone trigger — then grades the resulting call in the open.
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