UPDATED WEEKLY — LIVE SIGNAL DATA

Stocks to Watch This Week —
April 13, 2026

Top BUY and SELL signals generated by our 18-factor quantitative model, filtered to the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100. Updated every Monday morning from live pipeline data.

78.5%
SELL Win Rate
3,906+
Tracked Outcomes
18
Signal Factors
2,000+
Equities Scored Daily

Last updated: April 12, 2026 — Get the free delayed report →


Algorithmic Signal — BUY

Top Stocks to Watch This Week

Highest EP Score setups in the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 as of April 12, 2026. EP Score reflects composite conviction across technical, momentum, and macro factors. Full signals with price targets and stop levels available to subscribers.

Note: In the current market environment, our model is generating predominantly SELL-side signals (72.6% historical win rate). The picks below are the highest-scoring setups from the BUY universe. All picks are for informational purposes only — see full disclaimer below.
#1 CASY
CASY
BUY A
80
EP SCORE
$738.17
CURRENT PRICE
57%
CONVICTION
KEY FACTOR ADX

CASY (CASY) is on our watchlist at $738.17 — the ADX indicator is constructive with an EP Score of 80 (High conviction).

#2 CFG
CFG
BUY B
72
EP SCORE
$64.17
CURRENT PRICE
53%
CONVICTION
KEY FACTOR BMSP

CFG (CFG) is on our watchlist at $64.17 — the BMSP indicator is constructive with an EP Score of 72 (High conviction).

#3 CTVA
CTVA
BUY B
72
EP SCORE
$83.83
CURRENT PRICE
61%
CONVICTION
KEY FACTOR TTM Squeeze

CTVA (CTVA) is on our watchlist at $83.83 — a TTM Squeeze breakout is setting up with an EP Score of 72 (High conviction).

#4 NUE
NUE
BUY C
71
EP SCORE
$186.12
CURRENT PRICE
55%
CONVICTION
KEY FACTOR TTM Squeeze

NUE (NUE) is on our watchlist at $186.12 — a TTM Squeeze breakout is setting up with an EP Score of 71 (High conviction).

#5 UNP
Union Pacific
BUY D
69
EP SCORE
$250.51
CURRENT PRICE
57%
CONVICTION
KEY FACTOR ADX

Union Pacific (UNP) is on our watchlist at $250.51 — the ADX indicator is constructive with an EP Score of 69 (Moderate conviction).


Algorithmic Signal — AVOID

Stocks to Avoid This Week

Highest-conviction SELL signals (A and A+ quality tier) from the S&P 500 universe. These are not short-selling recommendations — they signal underperformance risk and potential downside versus the broader index.

UHS
UHS
AVOID A+
84%
CONVICTION
$180.78
CURRENT PRICE
$159.09
MODEL TARGET
1.1:1
REWARD/RISK
KEY FACTOR TTM Squeeze

UHS (UHS) is flagged at $180.78 because momentum is contracting inside a Bollinger/Keltner squeeze; our model targets $159.09 with a 1.1:1 reward-to-risk ratio.

ALLE
ALLE
AVOID A+
83%
CONVICTION
$144.81
CURRENT PRICE
$127.82
MODEL TARGET
1.4:1
REWARD/RISK
KEY FACTOR Intermarket

ALLE (ALLE) is flagged at $144.81 because cross-asset flows are diverging bearishly against the sector; our model targets $127.82 with a 1.4:1 reward-to-risk ratio.

DHR
Danaher
AVOID A+
83%
CONVICTION
$189.61
CURRENT PRICE
$171.22
MODEL TARGET
1.4:1
REWARD/RISK
KEY FACTOR TTM Squeeze

Danaher (DHR) is flagged at $189.61 because momentum is contracting inside a Bollinger/Keltner squeeze; our model targets $171.22 with a 1.4:1 reward-to-risk ratio.


Macro Context

Market Conditions This Week

Key macro inputs driving our signal model as of April 12, 2026. These variables feed directly into the macro overlay module that adjusts every signal's conviction score.

VIX (Volatility Index)
19.5
Moderate (normal)
10-Year Treasury Yield
4.29%
Moderately elevated
2Y / 10Y Spread
+0.50%
Curve is uninverted — normalization in progress
Fed Funds Rate
3.64%
Policy approaching neutral
HY Credit Spread (OAS)
2.90%
Credit markets relatively calm
McClellan Oscillator
-244
Very Oversold — potential mean-reversion setup
Sector Leaders (Outperforming)
Discretionary Financials
Sector Laggards (Underperforming)
Healthcare Comm Services Consumer Staples Real Estate

The current momentum regime is TRENDING (ADX: 31.2), indicating a strong directional trend is in place — follow-through setups have higher historical reliability. Recession probability (FRED model): 48%.


Methodology

How We Pick These Stocks

Every signal on this page comes from the same quantitative model that powers our paid subscriber dashboard. No opinions, no guesses — 18 factors computed across 2,000+ equities every day.

Momentum & Trend

TTM Squeeze, MACD, moving average crosses, DeMark exhaustion counts, and Aroon indicators identify directional momentum and exhaustion turning points.

Relative Strength

Mansfield RS, IBD-style RS Rating, cross-sectional momentum percentile, and sector rotation phase tell us whether a stock is leading or lagging the market.

Volume & Institutional Flow

On-Balance Volume, Chaikin Money Flow, VPIN, Cumulative Volume Delta, and Volume Profile measure whether institutional money is accumulating or distributing.

Structure & Quality

Wyckoff phase analysis, Weinstein stage analysis, Minervini Trend Template, and VCP pattern detection filter for high-quality setups with defined risk.

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Macro Overlay

Yield curve shape, credit spreads, Fed balance sheet, VIX regime, global net liquidity, and sector rotation automatically adjust each signal's conviction score.

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EP Score

All 18 factors converge into a single EP Score (0-100) with a quality tier (A+ to C). Higher EP Scores with A+ quality have historically achieved our best win rates.

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